Friday, February 03, 2006

Super Bowl

Who will win? Nothing against the Seahawks who have one of my favorite fantasy players in Shaun Alexander, but I don't see it happening. Yes, they were probably the best team in the NFC, but that's like being the best team in the AFC in the 80's and early 90's. It doesn't mean anything come Super Bowl time. I think the AFC was clearly the better conference this year. Look at the rest of the NFC. Chicago wasn't ready. Tampa had Chris Simms. The Giants looked pretty ratty down the stretch. Washington would have had a losing record if they were in the AFC and made the playoffs because someone had to. Carolina didn't have DeShaun Foster in the playoffs. So, by default, who was going to beat Seattle. I'm not going so far as moron Skip Bayless who doesn't think the Seahawks would have made the playoffs if they were still in the AFC West. However, Seattle wouldn't have won the AFC West or finished with 13 wins. Playing in the NFC West was cake city. It was the only division in the NFL that didn't have two teams win at least 9 games. St. Louis finished second with 6 wins.

So, you say you've got to play who is on the schedule. Sure. But they weren't impressing me much even in wins. They played four playoff teams. I throw out the Colts who benched everyone. They beat the Giants (although they shouldn't have) and lost to Jacksonville and Washington. The only other team they played who was close to making the playoffs was Dallas, and they needed a Drew Bledsoe brainlock INT and a 50 yard field goal to win that. The other problem for them is they won't be at home. This team was completely different on the road and at home. San Francisco shows that. At home, the Seahawks blow them out by 38 points, but on the road, they win by 2. Or look at their four games against AFC teams. Once again, the Colts game is thrown out (although they beat the Colts' second string by only 15). They lost to the Jaguars, and their only other games were against the worst AFC team (Texans) and arguably the second worst AFC team (Titans with apologies to the Jets and Raiders). They crushed the Texans at home, but when they went on the road, they needed a late rally to squeak by the Titans. In theory, the Super Bowl is a neutral field, but Steelers fans are the best at getting tickets. There won't be a 12th man to save the Seahawks. I'm not saying they can't win, but they won't. Steelers by 10.

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